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The Y2K Doom Scenario

   Stan Gelber

If you’re like me, you are up to your eyebrows in Y2K doom forecasting. Groups are being formed all over the world to discuss and plan for the pending disaster that is scheduled to occur at midnight on December 31, 1999.

Some consultants have even gone as far as to suggest you stockpile food, water, cash, gasoline and medical supplies. Many have also recommended you not fly anywhere the first week in January and one even suggested having a weapon on hand to protect yourself from those who did not prepare themselves.

Not only do I believe these so called "experts" are over the edge in terms of their sanity (their elevator does not go to the top floor!), but they are doing a dis-service to those of you looking for real information as to what will happen.

It is my opinion that we will see very little effect from the century rollover and what we will see will have a very minor impact. Most companies and government agencies have already addressed and fixed the critical systems that are needed to keep things running smoothly. These include the following:

  1. All critical military systems have been remediated and tested.
  2. All municipal systems such as water, power, and social services have or will be completed by year-end.
  3. Most of the governments critical systems such as food stamps, Medicare, and social security are or will be complete by the end of the year.
  4. Most commercial organizations have either implemented or are in the process of implementing temporary or permanent fixes to their critical software components.
  5. Most if not all ATM machines have been updated to handle the rollover.

The worst case will be that you will receive a bill with an incorrect date or not be able to access an ATM machine for a day or two. Keep in mind that any company not performing Y2K assessment and remediation will have a very difficult time staying in business.

What about your PC? If you have an older PC you have a very good chance of having incorrect dates if you use the system date, however, I think you will be able to identify those cases because a date of 1900 will appear in the year position. If it’s a document, simply change the date manually!

Of course the above is just my opinion…

Stan Gelber

President, Healthlinks.Net

 



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